Publications


Oakley, N. S., Liu, T., McGuire, L. A., Simpson, M., Hatchett, B. J., Tardy, A., Kean, J. W., Castellano, C., Laber, J. L., & Steinhoff, D. (2023). Toward Probabilistic Post-Fire Debris-Flow Hazard Decision Support. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 104(9), E1587–E1605. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0188.1
Liu, T., McGuire, L. A., Oakley, N., & Cannon, F. (2022). Temporal changes in rainfall intensity-duration thresholds for post-wildfire flash floods in southern California. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 22(2), 361–376. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-361-2022
de Orla-Barile, M., Cannon, F., Oakley, N. S., & Ralph, F. M. (2022). A climatology of narrow cold-frontal rainbands in Southern California. Geophysical Research Letters, 49(2), 10. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021gl095362
Schwartz, J. Y., Oakley, N. S., & Alessio, P. (2021). Assessment of a post-fire debris flow impacting El Capitan Watershed, Santa Barbara County, California, USA. Environmental & Engineering Geoscience, 27(4), 423–437.
Oakley, N. S. (2021). A warming climate adds complexity to post-fire hydrologic hazard planning. Earths Future, 9(7). https://doi.org/10.1029/2021ef002149
McGuire, L. A., Rengers, F. K., Oakley, N., Kean, J. W., Staley, D. M., Tang, H., de Orla-Barile, M., & Youberg, A. M. (2021). Time since burning and rainfall characteristics impact post-fire debris-flow initiation and magnitude. Environmental and Engineering Geoscience, 27(1), 43–56. https://doi.org/10.2113/EEG-D-20-00029
Lancaster, J. T., Swanson, B. J., Lukashov, S. G., Oakley, N. S., Lee, J. B., Spangler, E. R., Hernandez, J. L., Olson, B. P. E., DeFrisco, M. J., Lindsay, D. N., Schwartz, Y. J., McCrea, S. E., Roffers, P. D., & Tran, C. M. (2021). Observations and analyses of the 9 January 2018 debris-flow disaster, Santa Barbara County, California. Environmental and Engineering Geoscience, 27(1), 3–27. https://doi.org/10.2113/EEG-D-20-00015
Collins, B. D., Oakley, N. S., Perkins, J. P., East, A. E., Corbett, S. C., & Hatchett, B. J. (2020). Linking mesoscale meteorology with extreme landscape response: Effects of narrow cold frontal rainbands (NCFR). Journal of Geophysical Research-Earth Surface, 125(10). https://doi.org/10.1029/2020jf005675
Cannon, F., Oakley, N. S., Hecht, C. W., Michaelis, A., Cordeira, J. M., Kawzenuk, B., Demirdjian, R., Weihs, R., Fish, M. A., Wilson, A. M., & Ralph, F. M. (2020). Observations and predictability of a high-impact narrow cold-frontal rainband over Southern California on 2 February 2019. Weather and Forecasting, 1–40. https://doi.org/10.1175/waf-d-20-0012.1
Rengers, F. K., McGuire, L. A., Oakley, N. S., Kean, J. W., Staley, D. M., & Tang, H. (2020). Landslides after wildfire: initiation, magnitude, and mobility. Landslides. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-020-01506-3
Hatchett, B. J., Cao, Q., Dawson, P. B., Ellis, C. J., Hecht, C. W., Kawzenuk, B., Lancaster, J. T., Osborne, T. C., Wilson, A. M., Anderson, M. L., Dettinger, M. D., Kalansky, J. F., Kaplan, M. L., Lettenmaier, D. P., Oakley, N. S., Ralph, F. M., Reynolds, D. W., White, A. B., Sierks, M., & Sumargo, E. (2020). Observations of an extreme atmospheric river storm with a diverse sensor network. Earth and Space Science, 7(8), e2020EA001129. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020ea001129
Lukashov, S., Swanson, B., Oakley, N. S., & Lancaster, J. (2019). The Southern California post-fire debris flows of 9 January 2018: A review of initiation areas, precipitation and impacts. (J. W. ; C. Kean, Ed.). https://doi.org/10.25676/11124/173051
Oakley, N. S., Cannon, F., Munroe, R., Lancaster, J. T., Gomberg, D., & Ralph, F. M. (2018). Brief communication: Meteorological and climatological conditions associated with the 9 January 2018 post-fire debris flows in Montecito and Carpinteria, California, USA. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 18(11), 3037–3043. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-3037-2018
Oakley, N. S., Cannon, F., Boldt, E., Dumas, J., & Ralph, F. M. (2018). Origins and variability of extreme precipitation in the Santa Ynez River Basin of Southern California. Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies, 19, 164–176. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2018.09.001
Oakley, N. S., Lancaster, J. T., Hatchett, B. J., Stock, J., Ralph, F. M., Roj, S., & Lukashov, S. (2018). A 22-year climatology of cool season hourly precipitation thresholds conducive to shallow landslides in California. Earth Interactions, 22(14), 1–35. https://doi.org/10.1175/ei-d-17-0029.1
Lamjiri, M. A., Dettinger, M. D., Ralph, F. M., Oakley, N. S., & Rutz, J. J. (2018). Hourly analyses of the large storms and atmospheric rivers that provide most of California’s precipitation in only 10 to 100 hours per year. San Francisco Estuary and Watershed Science, 16(4). https://doi.org/10.15447/sfews.2018v16iss4art1
Hatchett, B. J., Daudert, B., Garner, C. B., Oakley, N. S., Putnam, A. E., & White, A. B. (2017). Winter snow level rise in the northern Sierra Nevada from 2008 to 2017. Water, 9(11). https://doi.org/10.3390/w9110899
Oakley, N. S., Lancaster, J. T., Kaplan, M. L., & Ralph, F. M. (2017). Synoptic conditions associated with cool season post-fire debris flows in the Transverse Ranges of southern California. Natural Hazards, 88(1), 327–354. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-017-2867-6
Hatchett, B. J., Burak, S., Rutz, J. J., Oakley, N. S., Bair, E. H., & Kaplan, M. L. (2017). Avalanche Fatalities during Atmospheric River Events in the Western United States. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 18(5), 1359–1374. https://doi.org/10.1175/jhm-d-16-0219.1
F. M. Ralph, M. Dettinger, D. Lavers, I. V. Gorodetskaya, A. Martin, M. Viale, A. B. White, N. Oakley, J. Rutz, J. R. Spackman, H. Wernli, & J. Cordeira. (2017). Atmospheric rivers emerge as a global science and applications focus. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 98(9), 1969–1973. https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-16-0262.1
Nina S. Oakley, & Britta Daudert. (2016). Establishing best practices to improve usefulness and usability of web interfaces providing atmospheric data. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97(2), 263–274. https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-14-00121.1
Nina S. Oakley, & Kelly T. Redmond. (2014). A climatology of 500-hPa closed lows in the northeastern Pacific Ocean, 1948–2011. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 53(6), 1578–1592. https://doi.org/10.1175/jamc-d-13-0223.1
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